张勇, 张琪, 刘少乾, 王沛丰. 基于复杂网络和灰色关联分析的引水隧洞坍塌事故致因分析[J]. 项目管理技术.
引用本文: 张勇, 张琪, 刘少乾, 王沛丰. 基于复杂网络和灰色关联分析的引水隧洞坍塌事故致因分析[J]. 项目管理技术.
ZHANG Yong, ZHANG Qi, LIU ShaoQian, WANG PeiFeng. Cause Analysis of Collapse Accident of Diversion Tunnel Based on Complex Network and Grey Relational Analysis[J]. Project Management Technology.
Citation: ZHANG Yong, ZHANG Qi, LIU ShaoQian, WANG PeiFeng. Cause Analysis of Collapse Accident of Diversion Tunnel Based on Complex Network and Grey Relational Analysis[J]. Project Management Technology.

基于复杂网络和灰色关联分析的引水隧洞坍塌事故致因分析

Cause Analysis of Collapse Accident of Diversion Tunnel Based on Complex Network and Grey Relational Analysis

  • 摘要: 引水隧洞建设中坍塌事故多发且后果恶劣,为有效预防坍塌事故,本研究提出基于复杂网络和灰色关联分析的引水隧洞坍塌事故关键致因识别方法。首先深入分析历史事故,从四个维度系统地总结出风险因素集;接着,依据风险因素及其影响关系构建坍塌事故致因网络模型,并多指标多维度的对节点进行重要度分析;鉴于单一特性可能无法全面呈现节点在网络中的影响力,本研究引入灰色关联分析有效融合节点的多个特征指标,进而确定各风险因素的重要程度,最后从工程实践的角度提出建议。

     

    Abstract: In order to effectively prevent the collapse of diversion tunnels, this paper proposes a method to identify the key causes of the collapse of diversion tunnels based on complex network and grey relational analysis. Firstly, the historical accident is analyzed deeply, and the set of risk factors is summarized systematically from four dimensions. Then, based on the risk factors and their influence relationship, the network model of collapse accident causes is constructed, and the importance of nodes is analyzed with multiple indexes and dimensions. In view of the fact that a single feature may not be able to fully represent the influence of nodes in the network, this study introduced grey relational analysis to effectively integrate multiple feature indicators of nodes, and then determined the importance of each risk factor, and finally put forward suggestions from the perspective of engineering practice.

     

/

返回文章
返回